How does climate change grow mega fires in Europe?
Every summer the forest fire images from different regions of Europe have now started to be ordinary. But according to scientists, these fires are not only more often, but also spread to larger areas, more difficult to control, and in different countries it is viewed simultaneously.
New analysis released by World Weather Attribution (WWA) reveals that human-source climate change significantly increases fire-friendly weather conditions in Europe. According to the study, these conditions have been at least two times in the southwest of France, while at least 20 times more likely in the middle part of Spain.
What did the research look?
[WWA research analyzed meteorological observations of past years instead of climate models. The researchers used the Daily Violence Degree (Daily Severity Rating - DSR) indicator to measure the risk of fire formed together with temperature, drought and wind. [
This indicator reveals not only the possibility of fire, but how difficult to control after starting.
Within the scope of research, the seven-day process of DSR was examined in the middle part of Spain with the southwest of France.
]
Why does it take attention?
Research, weather conditions suitable for fire of human-source climate change;[
Home at least two floors in the southwest of France,
Home at least 20 times in the middle part of Spain
] shows that it makes more likely.
The science draws people from gold that these calculations are prudent predictions.
The problem is not only the growth of fires
One of the important points that the research has taken into consideration is that fires start to live in different countries at the same time.
Large fires that are seen in different times are now available in the same weeks as France, Spain, Greece and Turkey.
] This situation not only increases the number of fires. It also makes it difficult for countries to provide fire fighting aircraft, equipment and personnel support to each other.
The climate scientist Andreia Ribeiro from Helmholtz Environmental Research Center states that the synonymous fires are forced to international solidarity. [
The fire season in Europe
Another scientific study included in the newsletter was published in the Scientific Reports magazine.
The researchers who examined air data and national fire records between 1981-2025 revealed that the intensity of air conditions that promote fire in some regions of France and Spain increased by up to 50 percent in the last decade, according to the period of 1981-2010.
The change in the number of high days if it is more remarkable.
High-risk periods that have been less than 10 days in the summer season between 1981-2010, reached about 25 days in some regions of the last decade.
This finding shows that not only fires, but also fire season. [email protected]
Why the change in fire increases the risk?
The main reason for this is three factors that feed each other.
A rainy winter season increases plant cover. Then the long drought period and hot air waves turn this plant cover into dry fuel into pieces.
In high temperatures and low humidity conditions, even a small spark can turn into a large forest fire in a short time.
The researchers emphasize that this chain is formed more often every year due to human-source global warming.
The risk for Europe is growing
According to the evaluation of the European Commission, the number of people who live under high or extreme fire risk in the European Union will increase 15 million if the global temperature rise reaches 3 degrees.
The world is about 1,3 to 1.5 degrees warmer than now according to the pre-industrial period.
Therefore, scientists indicate that forest fires should not be evaluated only as a natural disaster. Early warning systems in the fight against fires are expressed that climate compliance policies and the reduction of fossil fuel usage will continue to grow as soon as possible. [
[
From word
The latest mega fires in Europe reveal that climate change is not a risk that can live in the future, but today’s fact is once again. [
New research shows that temperature rise increases not only the severity of fires, but also the possibility of experiencing in multiple countries. This makes it mandatory for the understanding of a common climate and disaster management that is beyond the national limits to fight fires.
New analysis released by World Weather Attribution (WWA) reveals that human-source climate change significantly increases fire-friendly weather conditions in Europe. According to the study, these conditions have been at least two times in the southwest of France, while at least 20 times more likely in the middle part of Spain.
What did the research look?
[WWA research analyzed meteorological observations of past years instead of climate models. The researchers used the Daily Violence Degree (Daily Severity Rating - DSR) indicator to measure the risk of fire formed together with temperature, drought and wind. [
This indicator reveals not only the possibility of fire, but how difficult to control after starting.
Within the scope of research, the seven-day process of DSR was examined in the middle part of Spain with the southwest of France.
]
Why does it take attention?
Research, weather conditions suitable for fire of human-source climate change;[
Home at least two floors in the southwest of France,
Home at least 20 times in the middle part of Spain
] shows that it makes more likely.
The science draws people from gold that these calculations are prudent predictions.
The problem is not only the growth of fires
One of the important points that the research has taken into consideration is that fires start to live in different countries at the same time.
Large fires that are seen in different times are now available in the same weeks as France, Spain, Greece and Turkey.
] This situation not only increases the number of fires. It also makes it difficult for countries to provide fire fighting aircraft, equipment and personnel support to each other.
The climate scientist Andreia Ribeiro from Helmholtz Environmental Research Center states that the synonymous fires are forced to international solidarity. [
The fire season in Europe
Another scientific study included in the newsletter was published in the Scientific Reports magazine.
The researchers who examined air data and national fire records between 1981-2025 revealed that the intensity of air conditions that promote fire in some regions of France and Spain increased by up to 50 percent in the last decade, according to the period of 1981-2010.
The change in the number of high days if it is more remarkable.
High-risk periods that have been less than 10 days in the summer season between 1981-2010, reached about 25 days in some regions of the last decade.
This finding shows that not only fires, but also fire season. [email protected]
Why the change in fire increases the risk?
The main reason for this is three factors that feed each other.
A rainy winter season increases plant cover. Then the long drought period and hot air waves turn this plant cover into dry fuel into pieces.
In high temperatures and low humidity conditions, even a small spark can turn into a large forest fire in a short time.
The researchers emphasize that this chain is formed more often every year due to human-source global warming.
The risk for Europe is growing
According to the evaluation of the European Commission, the number of people who live under high or extreme fire risk in the European Union will increase 15 million if the global temperature rise reaches 3 degrees.
The world is about 1,3 to 1.5 degrees warmer than now according to the pre-industrial period.
Therefore, scientists indicate that forest fires should not be evaluated only as a natural disaster. Early warning systems in the fight against fires are expressed that climate compliance policies and the reduction of fossil fuel usage will continue to grow as soon as possible. [
[
From word
The latest mega fires in Europe reveal that climate change is not a risk that can live in the future, but today’s fact is once again. [
New research shows that temperature rise increases not only the severity of fires, but also the possibility of experiencing in multiple countries. This makes it mandatory for the understanding of a common climate and disaster management that is beyond the national limits to fight fires.
Source: Climate Change